Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 56.601952 64.610878 72.839017 81.889485 91.531520 101.465703 112.443784
2025-12-14 43.760984 55.068377 67.268402 81.264415 96.741768 113.212881 131.949910
2025-12-21 35.245372 48.076517 62.471220 79.511946 98.859343 119.903217 144.295045
2025-12-28 31.576169 45.950958 62.574574 82.717226 106.019310 131.748425 161.947895
2026-01-04 27.921445 43.327965 61.675174 84.390872 111.115489 141.014057 176.487184
2026-01-11 23.837433 39.706837 59.209541 83.897582 113.434228 146.904588 187.026131
2026-01-18 20.405670 36.539982 56.996425 83.443380 115.577651 152.414086 196.974673
2026-01-25 17.861482 34.275223 55.697846 83.920037 118.675148 158.909087 207.952709
2026-02-01 15.210564 31.573463 53.622539 83.254608 120.255095 163.516162 216.653168
2026-02-08 13.117574 29.441020 52.123816 83.174775 122.434401 168.742593 226.002442
2026-02-15 11.002849 27.024610 50.065148 82.234679 123.442495 172.489473 233.546455
2026-02-22 9.779936 25.869252 49.646884 83.351085 126.948021 179.184891 244.533415
2026-03-01 8.735277 24.910813 49.466636 84.778551 130.873325 186.442962 256.274058
2026-03-08 7.196245 22.890982 47.629703 83.900870 131.819759 190.050717 263.650594
2026-03-15 5.664859 20.618122 45.251717 82.160374 131.563589 192.113229 269.114170
2026-03-22 5.397590 20.760016 46.511966 85.415807 137.744509 202.082031 284.083669
2026-03-29 4.837692 20.222237 46.678413 87.120893 141.895979 209.539555 296.025132
2026-04-05 3.928195 18.771234 45.319065 86.618528 143.119256 213.339239 303.521307
2026-04-12 3.147870 17.428734 44.036469 86.156252 144.345498 217.107369 310.952883
2026-04-19 2.611713 16.546717 43.443975 86.641425 146.795923 222.385708 320.210523
2026-04-26 1.996970 15.268247 42.094915 85.964091 147.652368 225.632457 326.964255
2026-05-03 1.545471 14.288373 41.184771 85.882827 149.274676 229.821711 334.856984
2026-05-10 1.085955 13.054196 39.729886 84.925830 149.667769 232.422436 340.772964